Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.001089 1.238211e-03 0.001388 0.001550 0.001719 0.001890 0.002076
2025-08-31 0.000867 1.080399e-03 0.001303 0.001550 0.001814 0.002087 0.002389
2025-09-07 0.000713 9.746663e-04 0.001256 0.001577 0.001928 0.002296 0.002708
2025-09-14 0.000549 8.400364e-04 0.001165 0.001546 0.001969 0.002421 0.002933
2025-09-21 0.000451 7.688446e-04 0.001137 0.001576 0.002074 0.002610 0.003223
2025-09-28 0.000390 7.340096e-04 0.001144 0.001644 0.002216 0.002837 0.003553
2025-10-05 0.000306 6.603010e-04 0.001100 0.001646 0.002280 0.002976 0.003783
2025-10-12 0.000246 6.106892e-04 0.001079 0.001672 0.002369 0.003139 0.004038
2025-10-19 0.000178 5.375353e-04 0.001023 0.001652 0.002401 0.003237 0.004217
2025-10-26 0.000128 4.822602e-04 0.000985 0.001650 0.002451 0.003352 0.004413
2025-11-02 0.000081 4.205897e-04 0.000934 0.001628 0.002475 0.003434 0.004571
2025-11-09 0.000047 3.713851e-04 0.000894 0.001618 0.002511 0.003529 0.004741
2025-11-16 0.000005 2.716291e-04 0.000788 0.001538 0.002484 0.003576 0.004888
2025-11-23 NaN 2.143858e-04 0.000738 0.001527 0.002541 0.003723 0.005149
2025-11-30 NaN 1.763219e-04 0.000712 0.001548 0.002637 0.003914 0.005465
2025-12-07 NaN 1.222661e-04 0.000647 0.001512 0.002660 0.004021 0.005682
2025-12-14 NaN 9.695826e-05 0.000630 0.001540 0.002761 0.004218 0.006003
2025-12-21 NaN 8.602506e-05 0.000640 0.001605 0.002910 0.004472 0.006389
2025-12-28 NaN 5.935958e-05 0.000607 0.001605 0.002975 0.004624 0.006656
2026-01-04 NaN 4.292082e-05 0.000592 0.001631 0.003070 0.004812 0.006963
2026-01-11 NaN 2.133234e-05 0.000548 0.001611 0.003105 0.004924 0.007182
2026-01-18 NaN 8.659929e-06 0.000519 0.001608 0.003161 0.005062 0.007429
2026-01-25 NaN 4.378355e-07 0.000478 0.001586 0.003189 0.005165 0.007632